Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.178916e-03 0.001323 0.001467 0.001623 0.001786 0.001950 0.002129
2025-05-11 1.006393e-03 0.001216 0.001434 0.001675 0.001933 0.002198 0.002492
2025-05-18 7.717880e-04 0.001019 0.001284 0.001585 0.001915 0.002261 0.002650
2025-05-25 6.119607e-04 0.000886 0.001189 0.001543 0.001938 0.002360 0.002839
2025-06-01 4.921366e-04 0.000785 0.001120 0.001521 0.001976 0.002468 0.003034
2025-06-08 4.092781e-04 0.000718 0.001084 0.001530 0.002044 0.002605 0.003256
2025-06-15 3.599587e-04 0.000687 0.001085 0.001578 0.002153 0.002786 0.003523
2025-06-22 2.983514e-04 0.000633 0.001054 0.001585 0.002211 0.002907 0.003723
2025-06-29 2.438127e-04 0.000581 0.001021 0.001587 0.002262 0.003017 0.003908
2025-07-06 2.047497e-04 0.000547 0.001007 0.001609 0.002333 0.003149 0.004116
2025-07-13 1.609023e-04 0.000499 0.000973 0.001602 0.002369 0.003239 0.004275
2025-07-20 1.210770e-04 0.000451 0.000934 0.001588 0.002393 0.003314 0.004415
2025-07-27 1.032241e-04 0.000440 0.000948 0.001645 0.002510 0.003502 0.004692
2025-08-03 8.554384e-05 0.000426 0.000958 0.001697 0.002619 0.003682 0.004960
2025-08-10 3.958729e-05 0.000341 0.000860 0.001606 0.002553 0.003657 0.004994
2025-08-17 1.590793e-05 0.000287 0.000801 0.001563 0.002544 0.003696 0.005100
2025-08-24 3.743425e-06 0.000246 0.000760 0.001541 0.002559 0.003762 0.005235
2025-08-31 7.652744e-08 0.000222 0.000743 0.001550 0.002611 0.003872 0.005420
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000216 0.000754 0.001598 0.002713 0.004040 0.005672
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000194 0.000737 0.001605 0.002761 0.004143 0.005849
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000173 0.000717 0.001607 0.002802 0.004239 0.006015
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000159 0.000712 0.001628 0.002868 0.004362 0.006215
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000138 0.000688 0.001622 0.002897 0.004441 0.006360